Remorseful-Bathhouse
0x3981ec39c0b781d7ae6c96eacde799ee756e05e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.31
Total PnL
$-13.45
Realised
$-6.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$0.91Jul 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$1.10Jun 27, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$9.79Jun 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$1.07May 30, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 27, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 27, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$11.25Apr 27, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$13.27Apr 27, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$11.41Apr 22, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Apr 22, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$10.80Apr 22, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$6.91Apr 21, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$9.73Mar 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$35.96Feb 9, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$36.00Feb 9, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $12.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.