Well-Worn-Applewood
0x398b437c944bc54a5e1e199da4342edf9d66adea
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$20.09
Total PnL
$-20.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
GHO depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 26, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGHO depeg by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFreddie Mac IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Dec 8, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s Claude Sonnet 4.5 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$1.00Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Barnes win Big Brother UK Series 22?$1.00Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.01Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut - Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$1.01Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon dip to $168 in November?$1.01Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.01Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMOver $30M committed to the Makina public sale?$1.01Dec 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".