Outgoing-Probability
0x398cf5300209e19846ad7ae0f24a4d441b5ec935
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$356.32
Total PnL
$-79.34
Realised
$-14.77
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?
215 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$215.18
$11.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$93.50
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 22.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.65
$7.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?
40 shares @ 10.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.68
$8.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 1?
16 shares @ 42.4¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 2?
64 shares @ 2.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.97
$2.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?
27 shares @ 3.5¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.72
$1.78
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$-2.45
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 1?$7.20Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on June 1?$9.51Jun 1, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on June 1?$0.66Jun 1, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on June 1?$3.14Jun 1, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?$2.30Jun 1, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?$2.05Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 2?$1.13May 31, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?$0.89May 31, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 2?$0.74May 31, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?$0.09May 31, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?$100.20May 31, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?$100.29May 31, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 31?$4.08May 31, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals$5.12May 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals$4.37May 29, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?$1.57May 29, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?$0.60May 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?$0.20May 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?$0.60May 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?$0.60May 29, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".