0x3991202c2979f3fa67cb267caf3c4485ce2833ac
0x3991202c2979f3fa67cb267caf3c4485ce2833ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-412.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?
365 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-146.00
- YES
Will the NDP win 9 or more seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?
245 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-95.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?
190 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 22?
60 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-40.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
60 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?
30 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 11?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
Will Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?$1.75May 7, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during Carney visit on May 6?$4.40May 5, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?$5.00May 5, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 30?$95.00Apr 29, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?$2.45Apr 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?$3.35Apr 27, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win 13+ seats in Quebec?$1.80Apr 27, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NDP win 9 or more seats in the 2025 Canadian federal election?$95.55Apr 27, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 18?$9.60Apr 17, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?$10.00Apr 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 11?$1.05Apr 11, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mandate" during tariff event on April 2?$1.75Apr 2, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?$7.40Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on March 25?$10.00Mar 26, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 25?$7.20Mar 25, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on March 25?$9.96Mar 24, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 23?$15.00Mar 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?$5.40Mar 23, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 23?$13.95Mar 23, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMNathan Fletcher vs. Caolán Loughran$5.00Mar 23, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $28.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".