Brown-Club-Cornet
0x3997d61f14912fe8baedb2c56c5bb52d0db60a40
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$2.39
Total PnL
$-563.39
Realised
$22.48
Win rate
76%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- YES
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
171 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.85
$-0.14
- YES
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will José Ignacio García be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?
21780 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.78
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.06May 16, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.01May 16, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET$2.15May 16, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.16May 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.03May 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.02May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.03May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET$2.00May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.02May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.02May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.00May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$4.39May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11AM ET$2.01May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.01May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.99May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.45May 16, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.