Careless-Aunt
0x39a4caf32214b678e0ac0eac75341ccc7796376c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$7.10
Total PnL
$-115.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.10
$2.10
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
219 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
116 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
103 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
96 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$21.11Jun 4, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$0.13Jun 1, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$122.65Jun 1, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00May 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$21.32May 4, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.51May 4, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.13May 4, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.29May 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.20May 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11.70May 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.92May 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.07Apr 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$5.07Apr 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$9.00Apr 15, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Apr 15, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".