Minty-Equal
0x39b554db878561f2584677116a2897f64a99f12e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
730 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.66
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?
26 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-22.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 29?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 28?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?$22.09Aug 8, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?$0.01Aug 8, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$22.30Aug 8, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$23.13Aug 8, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Multimodal" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?$23.13Aug 8, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Multimodal" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?$22.25Aug 7, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released on August 6?$21.65Aug 7, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 6?$20.00Aug 6, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 5?$20.50Aug 6, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 5?$19.07Aug 4, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$2.67Aug 4, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$15.80Aug 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 29?$14.00Jul 29, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$13.72Jul 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$10.00Jul 29, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$8.00Jul 29, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28?$4.75Jul 29, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 28?$5.49Jul 29, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?$8.44Jul 29, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?$6.50Jul 28, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.