Carefree-Macrame
0x39c1c820154e1f41e75b186f26afd213617bf968
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
1850 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-58.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
1040 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of December?
1015 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on December 16?
454 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of December?
253 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Citizen Bull win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?
181 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of December?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of December?$5.00Dec 27, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.99Dec 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.70Dec 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.00Dec 24, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 24, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 24, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of December?$20.00Dec 24, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$28.00Dec 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on December 16?$4.00Dec 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Dec 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of December?$10.00Dec 10, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 10, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$85.00Dec 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$21.00Dec 7, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citizen Bull win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?$11.71May 3, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$30.00Feb 23, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$28.75Feb 23, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $17.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".