New-Secret
0x39cac818dacb99c940f3dc13bbdb29c1754fce0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-519.34
Realised
$-21.93
Win rate
0%
75 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?
963 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 15?
956 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 14?
640 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 15?
540 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 15?
517 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?
478 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 15?
477 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 15?
453 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 15?
402 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?
301 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?$2.10May 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 17?$20.86May 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 17?$20.92May 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$114.71May 16, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15?$0.00May 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$10.92May 15, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 16?$7.28May 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 16?$7.32May 15, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 16?$7.33May 15, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 16?$7.29May 15, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?$7.32May 15, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?$22.73May 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 15?$15.62May 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 15?$15.63May 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 15?$15.64May 14, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 15?$15.67May 14, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?$5.23May 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 15?$4.18May 14, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 15?$5.23May 14, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?$1.05May 14, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 75 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
75 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 75 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.