Gorgeous-Lycra
0x39da98b12ba488b16b1434ac40c2de211a855318
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$121.48
Total PnL
$-91.19
Realised
$27.36
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 27?
11 shares @ 41.2¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.71
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 28?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.84
$0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.75
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?
6 shares @ 41.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.67
$0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.61
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 27?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.59
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.49
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.48
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.47
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 28?
5 shares @ 47.4¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.45
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 27?$3.13Jun 27, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?$3.18Jun 27, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?$3.13Jun 27, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 27?$1.47Jun 27, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?$2.59Jun 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?$3.13Jun 27, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 28?$2.26Jun 27, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?$3.13Jun 27, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 28?$2.46Jun 27, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?$2.59Jun 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?$3.10Jun 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 27?$2.56Jun 27, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?$2.58Jun 27, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?$2.60Jun 27, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 27?$3.12Jun 27, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 27?$2.13Jun 27, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 27?$1.00Jun 27, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 27?$2.59Jun 27, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$2.85Jun 27, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?$2.58Jun 27, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.