Diligent-Thaw
0x39de34d6aa6674d5004eff3d158565e33cfca94b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$-795.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
510000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
390242 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-565.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
304286 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-599.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
232049 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-359.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
154529 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-283.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
138231 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-777.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
135983 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-407.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
108135 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-134.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on January 23?
94000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
55501 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-277.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$140.00Mar 25, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$70.00Feb 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$70.00Feb 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?$407.95Feb 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$320.00Feb 15, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 15, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$250.00Feb 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$150.00Feb 1, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$3.0KJan 31, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$1.00Jan 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 24?$100.00Jan 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$8.86Jan 23, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?$300.00Jan 23, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$600.00Jan 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$830.00Jan 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?$33.69Jan 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?$36.90Jan 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 23?$120.00Jan 22, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 23?$80.00Jan 22, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $232.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".