Metallic-Somewhere
0x39e7b2618518d01ed84bba6fdeb09ab76f744f1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$49.08
Total PnL
$-389.08
Realised
$-13.97
Win rate
0%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Kawhi play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
779 shares @ 0.3¢·now 5.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$43.60
$41.60
- YES
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?
82 shares @ 7.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
3409 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
758 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?$5.23Aug 7, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kawhi play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 29, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kawhi play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?$1.04Jul 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?$5.25Jul 22, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$5.25Jul 22, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 23?$1.82Jul 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 23?$2.60Jul 22, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 23?$5.11Jul 22, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$5.25Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$1.05Jul 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$2.10Jul 21, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$5.18Jul 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 22?$1.05Jul 21, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?$2.14Jul 21, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?$2.00Jul 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 21?$2.09Jul 20, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 21?$2.58Jul 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?$1.22Jul 20, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 95 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
95 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.