Muted-Creativity
0x39e9f9b8ab46573b0b08b7be5ca826eb9ccf8654
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?$1.02Dec 15, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?$1.01Dec 4, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?$1.00Dec 4, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 16?$1.01Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on November 16?$1.01Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “Claudia" or "Sheinbaum” this week? (November 10 - 16)$1.02Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win between 10% and 13% of votes in the first round?$1.04Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Panthers$5.00Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan vs. Northwestern$5.00Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Santos FC win on 2025-11-15?$5.00Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$6.00Nov 27, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?$1.00Nov 27, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$500.00Nov 15, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$500.00Nov 15, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$500.00Nov 15, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$500.00Nov 15, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win between 10% and 13% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 16?$1.00Nov 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on November 16?$1.00Nov 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Claudia" or "Sheinbaum” this week? (November 10 - 16)$1.00Nov 15, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $121.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.