Misguided-Sandpaper
0x39ee3d43712bc868e015ad75d4d86d4ec47df323
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$13.21
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-231.91
Win rate
47%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1002 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.52
$-351.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
35 shares @ 37.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.69
$-9.31
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1285 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.88
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1045 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
547 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
445 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
185 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-59.30
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
185 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
170 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.09Apr 23, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$2.09Apr 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$5.08Apr 15, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$6.00Apr 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$14.00Apr 8, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$21.00Apr 8, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$31.00Apr 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.12Apr 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Apr 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.00Apr 8, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6700–6800 on April 8?$1.97Apr 8, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$7.00Apr 8, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.74Apr 8, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.