Fumbling-Beard
0x39f2ddc99ab2807ed9b1af92f8d88a94af50d0a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$116.53
Total PnL
$-15.6K
Realised
$-912.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
76 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$75.50
$0.45
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
22 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$22.00
$0.04
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$9.00
$5.04
- NO
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$5.43
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$0.00
- BRAVES
Diamondbacks vs. Braves
26304 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-14.7K
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
1 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$75.05Dec 8, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?$3.96Dec 8, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$21.96Dec 8, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$2.00Dec 8, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$4.02Dec 8, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.72Dec 8, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$14.41Dec 8, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$68.24Dec 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?$14.40Nov 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$68.10Nov 23, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Haashiim win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?$2.44Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joyce Banda win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$2.71Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.61Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election?$4.22Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 12?$4.40Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?$4.66Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill HEROIC win The International 2025 Tournament?$5.06Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$6.04Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$7.01Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$7.94Nov 23, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $13.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.