Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.1K

Realised

$-43.82

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 21

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
710 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-494.42
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.37
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026
$0.00
$-50.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-49.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-50.01
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
47 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-40.98
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-29.90
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
31 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$0.00
$-29.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
31 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026
$0.00
$-29.99

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$581.29Jan 17, 01:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.3KJan 17, 01:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$500.00Jan 17, 00:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Jan 17, 00:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$500.00Jan 17, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$300.00Jan 17, 00:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$832.39Jan 17, 00:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$500.00Jan 17, 00:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$300.00Jan 17, 00:27 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$505.04Jan 17, 00:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$500.00Jan 16, 15:59 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$92.56Jan 16, 15:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$510.69Jan 16, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$91.63Jan 16, 15:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$500.00Jan 16, 15:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$240.97Jan 16, 14:33 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$315.61Jan 16, 14:33 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$505.04Jan 16, 14:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$233.79Jan 16, 14:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$300.00Jan 16, 13:57 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 32
Avg trade size: $362.08
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 16, 11:17 UTC
Last active: Jan 17, 01:10 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:26:02 UTC·src:Polymarket Data