Weekly-Automaton
0x3a02262b7c63ebe4052a666d3040def84fbbad43
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$65.45
Total PnL
$700.04
Realised
$726.97
Win rate
100%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 14?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$29.98
$0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?
19 shares @ 2.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$19.48
$18.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 14?
15 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$14.99
$0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?
20 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.33
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 15?
20 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.25
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 15?
17 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.22
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 14?
20 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.05
$-0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 14?
29 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.01
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 14?
28 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.01
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.01
$-0.39
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 14?$16.15Aug 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 14?$0.01Aug 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 14?$0.07Aug 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 14?$0.02Aug 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 14?$6.04Aug 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 14?$0.02Aug 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 14?$9.50Aug 14, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 15?$8.80Aug 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 14?$0.20Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 14?$0.05Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 14?$0.02Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 14?$0.03Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 14?$0.01Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 14?$9.70Aug 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 14?$0.05Aug 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 14?$0.01Aug 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 14?$0.17Aug 14, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 14?$0.13Aug 14, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 14?$0.00Aug 14, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 14?$0.01Aug 14, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
60 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.