Aching-Lament
0x3a037f68cee9e87f9c97c39587b2d43e14ead3be
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-80.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
2888 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.9K
$1.44
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
54 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.97
$0.08
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.15
$0.15
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
13 shares @ 93.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$12.65
$0.65
- NO
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.67
$0.39
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8009 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.00
$-12.01
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
57 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
44 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.1KJun 9, 13:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$279.25Jun 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$17.00Jun 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$20.00Jun 7, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$503.94Jun 7, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$335.48Jun 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.02Jun 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$2.9KJun 7, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.1KJun 7, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$211.00Jun 7, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?$522.00Jun 7, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$1.1KJun 7, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $263.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.