Growing-Fiesta
0x3a0b7e1ec378e5a06e2e1020c3dad352e546d75a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$15.19
Total PnL
$0.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.00Nov 20, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?$12.00Nov 20, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 17?$2.35Nov 20, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 20, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$9.02Nov 20, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 17?$2.30Jun 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$9.00Jun 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.00Jun 17, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.02Jun 17, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sebastian Korda win the 2025 French Open?$6.61Jun 17, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?$8.01Jun 17, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.00May 29, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?$8.00May 29, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastian Korda win the 2025 French Open?$6.60May 29, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000.00 by March 31?$2.55May 29, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?$3.99May 29, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be between $4.75 and $5.00 in February?$4.48May 29, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$4.82May 29, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win Eurovision 2025?$5.57May 29, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill egg prices be between $4.75 and $5.00 in February?$4.47Mar 3, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.