Passionate-Preserves
0x3a15646feaa72bb6569f4a344c1f216d812195d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$82.51
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3015 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
2012 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
1826 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-52.68
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
1290 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1211 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.76
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1169 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-94.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
1118 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1103 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.06Jul 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.06Jul 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.12Jul 23, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Jul 23, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$29.63Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.09Jul 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$3.17Jul 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2.12Jul 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.07Jul 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.13Jul 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.06Jul 23, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.06Jul 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.12Jul 23, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.06Jul 23, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.13Jul 23, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.13Jul 23, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.23Jul 23, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.12Jul 23, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.12Jul 23, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.01Jul 23, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 05:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.