Stable-Patch
0x3a3099e8714178666a19bfd7e7525250426f99ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.95
Total PnL
$-79.84
Realised
$55.26
Win rate
81%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.53Jun 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.00Jun 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.04Jun 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.04Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.28Jun 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$1.00Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.10Jun 14, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.10Jun 14, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.00Jun 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$0.25Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 14, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.