Stable-Patch
0x3a3099e8714178666a19bfd7e7525250426f99ec
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$45.13
Total PnL
$-7.83
Realised
$47.01
Win rate
79%
121 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
229 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
30 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.92
$0.11
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
246 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$-0.12
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.056m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.2456m ago
- TRADESELLWill Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$0.141h ago
- TRADESELLHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$0.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.004h ago
- TRADESELLWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.325h ago
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$1.406h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.206h ago
- TRADESELLWill Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?$0.026h ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.287h ago
- TRADESELLWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.237h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.827h ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$0.438h ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$0.608h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.028h ago
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.248h ago
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.228h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$0.799h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$0.229h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 6m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.