Oval-Verb
0x3a33f89423109d935640b04632c32de75eebe661
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$119.31
Total PnL
$-105.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?
21 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$21.01
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$20.93
$0.63
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 19?
21 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$20.84
$0.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?
21 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$19.91
$-0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 20?
21 shares @ 96.6¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$18.46
$-1.75
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?
19 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$18.16
$0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 13?
21 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 19?$20.99Jun 20, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 20?$1.33Jun 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$6.65Jun 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?$20.29Jun 20, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$1.26Jun 20, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$1.21Jun 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$1.24Jun 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$1.21Jun 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$1.26Jun 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$1.24Jun 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 21?$3.80Jun 20, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?$20.80Jun 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?$20.33Jun 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 20?$18.88Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 19?$15.54Jun 20, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 19?$20.82Jun 20, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 19?$21.02Jun 20, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 19?$21.05Jun 19, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 19?$20.88Jun 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 19?$20.15Jun 19, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.