Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.65

Total PnL

$-14.3K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 45

NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026
$1.01
$0.01
YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$0.64
$-0.36
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.05Jan 15, 06:12 UTC
REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.02Jan 15, 06:12 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 8, 05:46 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 06:36 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 09:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 09:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$250.00Dec 11, 08:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$250.00Dec 11, 08:23 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$250.00Dec 11, 08:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$237.00Dec 11, 08:18 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$13.00Dec 11, 08:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.0KDec 11, 08:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$485.00Dec 11, 07:37 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$15.00Dec 11, 07:37 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 07:33 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$250.00Dec 11, 06:26 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$250.00Dec 11, 06:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$235.00Dec 11, 06:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$15.00Dec 11, 06:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$237.00Dec 11, 06:18 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry96 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk73 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $158.11
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 3, 08:17 UTC
Last active: Jan 15, 06:12 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:48:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data