Embarrassed-Tactile
0x3a5086c5c8a629b73317eb9f88c83295d76238aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
324 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 30?
196 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
95 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?
51 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?$0.37Apr 30, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$0.00Apr 29, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 30?$4.20Apr 29, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 30?$10.48Apr 29, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?$10.40Apr 29, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$15.09Apr 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$5.00Apr 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$5.00Apr 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.17Mar 13, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.60Mar 13, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Mar 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.