Long-Term-Check
0x3a5164ade2d7938fe00b346fb5135ebd1a08b2b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-151.2K
Realised
$-701.63
Win rate
41%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7038 shares @ 18.2¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.4K
$104.57
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$12.25
$4.75
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
25000 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.1K
- UNDER
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5
21630 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.6K
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
21599 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.8K
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
17400 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.0K
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5
16933 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.6K
- PISTONS
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
16019 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.5K
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
16000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.3K
- LAKERS
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
13000 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.0KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-1.5)$750.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: United States (-1.5)$216.65Jun 13, 02:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$477.47Jun 13, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$235.31Jun 13, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$530.00Jun 12, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$2.0KJun 11, 09:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$17.05Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$2.91Jun 10, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$1.04Jun 10, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$1.04Jun 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$1.90Jun 10, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$13.36Jun 10, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$50.87Jun 10, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$36.25Jun 10, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$1.04Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$40.59Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$1.04Jun 10, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-2.5)$2.50Jun 10, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $128.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.