Well-Worn-Collector
0x3a58098b4a641df14bfe429b138d716360fd2983
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
147
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-144.92
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 25?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 18?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 19?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 24?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 18?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on April 22?
116 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 19?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 22?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 24?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?$10.00May 14, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$46.31May 14, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 27?$0.03Apr 26, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$0.30Apr 26, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 27?$0.97Apr 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?$0.50Apr 26, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$0.06Apr 25, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 26?$0.46Apr 25, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on April 27?$0.95Apr 25, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 26?$0.16Apr 25, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on April 27?$0.05Apr 25, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?$0.50Apr 25, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?$0.70Apr 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?$0.92Apr 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?$0.08Apr 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 27?$1.00Apr 25, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 27?$0.07Apr 25, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 27?$0.08Apr 25, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.