Verifiable-Stirfry
0x3a67a11bd5cb74859685f6d42158c7fc4dbfca1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$131.19
Total PnL
$-540.57
Realised
$-192.11
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?
131 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$131.19
$1.31
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 11?
219 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 12?
205 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?
162 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.35
- UP
Solana Up or Down on April 18?
156 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 29?
135 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-37.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 3PM ET
111 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
106 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 3?
102 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-27.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on August 11?$1.87Aug 10, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?$0.19Jul 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?$129.69Jul 28, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 4?$115.82Jul 28, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 21?$1.48Jul 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 4?$114.43Jul 4, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 2?$124.68Jul 4, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 2?$122.69Jul 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?$2.40May 31, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 24?$2.18May 23, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$136.57May 22, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$0.17May 22, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$132.99May 22, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$2.59May 18, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 12?$1.75May 12, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$127.52May 12, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$0.19May 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$125.42May 10, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?$0.00Apr 25, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 6?$19.62Apr 18, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $40.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.