Forsaken-Beggar
0x3a68e28006cb12c2c8a928bbafcb741517757a0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.12
Total PnL
$-493.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
1333 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$2.00Aug 1, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$0.03Jul 31, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$1.01Jul 30, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$4.97Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$3.00Jul 27, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$2.05Jul 26, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.50Jul 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.00Jul 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?$0.72Jul 23, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?$1.03Jul 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$5.00Jul 21, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$5.00Jul 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$1.37Jul 19, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$1.05Jul 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$5.07Jul 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$9.60Jul 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$5.12Jul 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$3.34Jul 14, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$5.00Jul 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: July$2.37Jul 13, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.