Prudent-Quartet
0x3a68fbef51e9e06747fd94db2bc6f7dabf3a835a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$18.9K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$4.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
222697 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.9K
$-1.5K
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
105 shares @ 16.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.27
$-1.27
- NO
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
43313 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-115.73
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
34600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-376.37
- YES
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?
1906 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-9.53
- YES
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
1149 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-8.74
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
1114 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.14
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Yoon arrested by Friday?
1000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?
826 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-5.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.69Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$1.60Jul 20, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$1.60Jul 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$1.60Jul 19, 10:52 UTC
- YIELD$1.82Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.83Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.88Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.88Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$0.85Jul 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$3.02Jul 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$8.88Jul 15, 10:24 UTC
- YIELD$1.88Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.80Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.83Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 6, 09:00 UTC → Jun 6, 08:52 UTC
- BUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$8.3K@9¢Jun 6, 08:52 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$8.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $94.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.