Threadbare-Mistake
0x3a707ef97d3003e789eeac04cc9aab656d6176b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-432.38
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
3000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1326 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-150.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
1131 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-164.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
692 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-168.72
- YES
Will Reilac Shiga vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw?
671 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
641 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-58.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
582 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-149.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
567 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-229.15
- YES
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. AC Nagano Parceiro end in a draw?
487 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-175.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
470 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$162.00May 19, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$51.96May 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$51.47May 19, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$103.48May 19, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00May 19, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$309.25May 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$51.61May 19, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$103.28May 19, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$20.84May 19, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$51.93May 19, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$51.57May 19, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$51.71May 19, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$8.87May 19, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.66May 19, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.43May 19, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$28.76May 19, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$42.08May 19, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$7.03May 19, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$2.20May 19, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$22.04May 19, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $93.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".