Likely-Song
0x3a86359d6746ba30b0cf65f43204d6448ffac2fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?
770 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
618 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
341 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
211 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
206 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
162 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-28.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
154 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
143 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.36Dec 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.62Dec 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.70Dec 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.68Dec 13, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.68Dec 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.48Dec 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.13Dec 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.35Dec 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$3.35Dec 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$137.53Dec 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$28.93Dec 12, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$419.19Dec 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$419.18Dec 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$655.35Dec 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$34.04Dec 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Dec 12, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Dec 12, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.1KDec 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$592.88Dec 12, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $149.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".