Massive-Lyre
0x3a8fe43507e9ce1cc9ea3c1143386ad2f3948b2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.15
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-2.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-4.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
6098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$9.18May 9, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$10.40May 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.03May 2, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$11.00Mar 24, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20?$37.23Mar 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20?$23.83Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$23.84Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$383.36Mar 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?$10.00Mar 19, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?$5.00Mar 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$10.00Mar 18, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$16.95Mar 18, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$100.00Mar 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$10.00Mar 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score$10.00Mar 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?$8.00Mar 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?$10.00Mar 17, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.