Pertinent-Brocolli
0x3a986a746fd6b09c6e77195893e8c979bc191b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$27.81
Total PnL
$-33.06
Realised
$-0.87
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?
17 shares @ 58.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.12
$7.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
11 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.70
$0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?
59 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$10.11May 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$10.19May 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$20.33May 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$10.03May 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?$10.21May 14, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $12.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.