Tempting-Search
0x3a9fd1056b4778099883517007c3f2d1aabdd7c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$96.94
Total PnL
$-167.37
Realised
$-11.89
Win rate
0%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$6.37
$1.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 17?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$5.19
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 17?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$5.03
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 17?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 17?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 17?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.85
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 16?$7.69Aug 16, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 16?$8.06Aug 16, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 16?$7.04Aug 16, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 16?$6.98Aug 16, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 16?$9.80Aug 16, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$11.90Aug 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?$3.85Aug 16, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?$5.17Aug 16, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?$5.07Aug 16, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?$8.47Aug 16, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?$5.00Aug 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?$5.06Aug 16, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 18?$5.09Aug 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?$5.10Aug 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?$4.75Aug 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 17?$5.09Aug 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 17?$5.10Aug 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 17?$5.06Aug 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 17?$5.06Aug 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 18?$5.07Aug 16, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
58 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.