Fair-Passage
0x3aad180774aa4d3fc7969c42f586575e3da8226d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-238.48
Win rate
40%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
591 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-242.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
536 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-222.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
520 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
445 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-290.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
441 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-311.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
427 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
363 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-167.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
323 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
323 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-167.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
299 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$11.94Jul 29, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$8.12Jul 29, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$15.19Jul 29, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.40Jul 29, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$8.00Jul 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$23.59Jul 29, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$4.77Jul 29, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$4.53Jul 29, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$8.11Jul 29, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.94Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.03Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.09Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$6.43Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$4.56Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$4.19Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$4.21Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$4.17Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$8.29Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$16.38Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$4.20Jul 28, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
47 closed markets, 40% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.