Violet-Female
0x3ab65aa935d204db2d0d4c8c2332ac129b0af232
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$33.64
Total PnL
$-35.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- NO
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Microcosm" in February?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Trump say "Susie Wiles" during the State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Susie Wiles" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$10.00Feb 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$1.00Feb 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$1.00Feb 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Feb 14, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "N-Word" in February?$2.00Feb 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Microcosm" in February?$2.00Feb 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Skedaddle" in February?$1.00Feb 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 14, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.02Feb 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$1.04Feb 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$1.14Feb 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.15Feb 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.16Feb 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.