Watchful-Overhead
0x3ac77940258a66a730ba4950c8beac4a977613de
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.62
Total PnL
$0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump sue over South Park episode?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.36
$0.03
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.18
$0.01
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$1.17Aug 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?$1.00Aug 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue over South Park episode?$1.33Aug 10, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.00Aug 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Aug 10, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.78Aug 10, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$1.00Jul 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.75Jul 10, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before May?$1.05Jul 10, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$1.05Jul 10, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?$1.14Jul 10, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.11Jul 10, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be the Democratic Party of Korea's candidate for president?$2.12Jul 10, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Apr 22, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before May?$1.01Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?$1.13Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?$1.00Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.06Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be the Democratic Party of Korea's candidate for president?$2.10Apr 22, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMArrest in the Suchir Balaji case before April?$0.00Apr 22, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.