Considerate-Breastplate-Success
0x3ad51712f8104796772963067396a3b53aa974b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$31.24
Total PnL
$-75.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
17 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$12.24
$0.00
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 5?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 69°F or below on June 5?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on June 5?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C or below on June 5?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?
483 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.54Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 4?$1.00Jun 4, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 4?$1.00Jun 4, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 4?$1.05Jun 4, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on June 4?$1.00Jun 4, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?$12.24Jun 4, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.01Jun 4, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.33Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$9.56Jun 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$27.67Jun 4, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$20.64Jun 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$20.65Jun 4, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.01Jun 4, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$20.56Jun 4, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$20.54Jun 4, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$20.70Jun 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$20.13Jun 4, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$20.10Jun 4, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$20.87Jun 4, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$43.73Jun 4, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".