Only-Wrinkle
0x3ad9d72a661b4bb7024d7211af8965ca4cf856e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-289.65
Realised
$3.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 48.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.00
$5.14
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5090 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-181.83
- YES
Will Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?
700 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2024$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Doge" during the X space?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2024$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-78.00
- YES
Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$5.63Sep 15, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$1.47Sep 15, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$1.76Sep 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$0.32Sep 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$0.42Sep 15, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$0.15Sep 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$0.17Sep 15, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$0.15Sep 15, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$0.42Sep 15, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.86Sep 15, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Retardio" during the X space?$5.00Sep 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Doge" during the X space?$14.00Sep 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLJD & Usha Vance divorce before election?$1.91Aug 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLJD & Usha Vance divorce before election?$1.50Aug 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLJD & Usha Vance divorce before election?$1.41Aug 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLJD & Usha Vance divorce before election?$0.13Aug 7, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLJD & Usha Vance divorce before election?$43.08Aug 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.20Jul 29, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$26.13Jul 29, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$51.67Jul 29, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $10.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 15, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".