Complex-Stone
0x3ada174ed67aa90bbc4055451b44e454e4fa6738
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.23
Total PnL
$-26.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 3?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.00May 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.28May 25, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.01May 25, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 3+ times in Michigan?$1.06May 25, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?$1.39May 25, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $2.11May 25, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 3+ times in Michigan?$1.00May 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?$1.01May 2, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 2, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $2.00May 2, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?$1.75May 2, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.95May 2, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2.24May 2, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$2.78May 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Apr 4, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.00Apr 4, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.00Apr 4, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 4, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$2.00Apr 4, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".