Long-Mathematics
0x3ae191ce13c2f1a64860a6f300d75bbaf43009cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$28.18
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
2400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
2400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?
2400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 10?
1750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
267 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
217 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10.69Jul 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$4.18Jul 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$14.99Jul 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$9.33Jul 28, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$9.43Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.49Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.16Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.03Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$3.45Jul 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.26Jul 28, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$7.81Jul 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.13Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$17.44Jul 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$15.15Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.46Jul 28, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.21Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$8.06Jul 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.13Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$22.39Jul 28, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.