0x3aebf3e87c0e602090bfcebaa391c939ec4b83e4
0x3aebf3e87c0e602090bfcebaa391c939ec4b83e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$22.81
Total PnL
$-72.94
Realised
$7.50
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$4.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
2 shares @ 63.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$2.01
$0.73
- NO
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$2.00
$0.60
- NO
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-02-04?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$2.00
$0.66
- YES
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$2.00
$0.88
- NO
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.97
$0.65
- NO
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$1.97
$0.69
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$1.97
$0.75
- NO
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-01-05?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$1.97
$0.77
- YES
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-10?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.96
$0.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5$1.21Feb 5, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMRussell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5$1.21Feb 5, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 228.5$2.00Feb 5, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMJalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5$1.79Feb 5, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Knicks$2.00Feb 5, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5$4.08Feb 5, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clube do Remo win on 2026-02-04?$0.00Feb 5, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEM1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)$1.86Feb 5, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5$1.35Feb 5, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5$1.90Feb 5, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5$1.92Feb 5, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?$0.00Feb 5, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$0.00Feb 5, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Lorient win on 2026-02-04?$1.18Feb 4, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Knicks$1.38Feb 4, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5$1.14Feb 4, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 112.5$1.04Feb 4, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$0.70Feb 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Rockets$1.28Feb 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5$2.00Feb 4, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.