Excitable-Pate
0x3af06dcdd3c6925ef21e32374e3b62c7af58f117
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.89
Realised
$-0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?
1075 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 14?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 14?
136 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?
114 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.02
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 14?
73 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?
66 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?
60 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?
42 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 14?
37 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$15.00Mar 24, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?$8.02Mar 20, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?$40.00Mar 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$45.03Mar 19, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 19?$2.00Mar 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$15.00Mar 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$13.58Mar 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 18?$13.58Mar 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 18?$8.18Mar 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?$4.09Mar 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?$10.98Mar 16, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?$15.07Mar 16, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?$28.76Mar 16, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?$28.76Mar 16, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?$5.23Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?$10.00Mar 15, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?$12.41Mar 15, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?$2.00Mar 14, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?$2.76Mar 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 14?$1.00Mar 14, 05:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.