Downright-Legitimacy
0x3af1517250f05d7261cda925adcb31d83cc79b2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-367.28
Realised
$-9.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?
291 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-61.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?
203 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 7?
197 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 6?
191 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?
125 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8AM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?
83 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?
53 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 7?
47 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 11?
46 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?$32.19Apr 11, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 11?$10.00Apr 11, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 11?$2.16Apr 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 11?$12.00Apr 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 11?$10.00Apr 10, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?$10.00Apr 10, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?$20.00Mar 6, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?$20.00Mar 6, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 6?$70.00Mar 5, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?$40.00Mar 5, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?$61.79Mar 5, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$244.51Mar 5, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$70.00Mar 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?$70.00Mar 4, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$128.57Mar 4, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Feb 23, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $59.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".