Frilly-Reactant
0x3af2ba2e1adb553af3f86667fac2c171b5feedbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$267.98
Total PnL
$-917.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?
104 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.03
$1.03
- NO
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
515 shares @ 97.0¢·now 13.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$67.53
$-432.47
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-485.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$750.00Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$730.50Jun 5, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$102.35Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$578.71Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$50.00Jun 1, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$559.00May 30, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?$558.56May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?$558.04May 28, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?$551.10May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?$550.08May 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$100.00May 24, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$653.29May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$650.23May 23, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$650.65May 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$650.04May 21, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$652.61May 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$650.10May 19, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$146.44May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$503.83May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$500.27May 15, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $418.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.