Guilty-Decency
0x3af7c4bd131142e09ee04f2d7e429d7966b8c6f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-509.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
761 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
450 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Macron out in 2025?
375 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?
292 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-84.78
- NO
Will the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?
184 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over property taxes on second homes pass?$50.00Aug 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?$84.78Aug 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$100.00Aug 25, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$100.00Aug 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$100.00Aug 25, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by June 30?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by June 30?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by June 30?$0.00Jul 8, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30?$200.00May 3, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?$100.00May 3, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMLily Phillips sex event cancelled?$0.00May 3, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $102.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 25, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.