Winding-Penguin
0x3af930adf00e0b659a4b587db199e9d8db7c7d59
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-393.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
32455 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-293.56
- YES
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 7PM ET
141 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.64
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
9 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by March 7?$3.24Mar 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$4.80Mar 2, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?$14.00Nov 25, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$144.96Oct 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$7.20Oct 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$3.74Oct 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$86.20Oct 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$45.49Oct 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$5.00Oct 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$6.00Oct 27, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 7PM ET$5.64Aug 20, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.87Aug 16, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$8.31Aug 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.13Aug 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$0.54Aug 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$0.75Aug 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$1.40Aug 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$25.00Aug 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin hug on Friday?$28.00Aug 15, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $20.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".