Political-Evening
0x3af93a31bc8de182afd814becfc626c3e6403737
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$28.50
Total PnL
$-537.52
Realised
$-22.76
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3355 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.39
$-21.87
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2977 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.44
$-7.44
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.05
$-8.95
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.17
$-10.82
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
243 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.46
$-12.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?
16350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.73
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
14330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.33
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
12423 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.37
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?
10448 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$13.90Jun 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$5.13Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.68Jun 7, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$14.70Jun 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 7, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$15.19May 30, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.72May 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in May?$8.71May 28, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.98May 28, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.90May 28, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.73May 24, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in May?$14.44May 24, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.95May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.37May 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13.83May 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$17.06May 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11.55May 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$6.05Apr 29, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.