Cumbersome-Socialist
0x3af9b316bbc75ee52ad3eec06ddacb83bebc2014
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.85
Total PnL
$-69.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
92 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
59 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
44 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Oct 29, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Oct 29, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Oct 29, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Oct 29, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.15Oct 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$20.00Oct 29, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.20Oct 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.30Oct 29, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$3.00Oct 29, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$5.00Oct 29, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Oct 29, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?$1.00Oct 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$9.70Oct 29, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$2.00Oct 29, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Oct 29, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.90Oct 29, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.04Oct 29, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.25Oct 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.25Oct 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$4.50Oct 29, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.