Ajar-Overclocking
0x3afa2c5e3951151f03d0f29556f2defd43ead5b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
55558 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
22671 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-847.74
- YES
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
11993 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8333 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
4900 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.90
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
2894 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-128.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.17Jun 26, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $147.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.